Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream
Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia.
Game Time & Date: 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, June 21
Coverage: ION
Point Spread: Fever -2.5 (-115 via FanDuel)
Caitlin Clark, UNDER 2.5 Made Three Pointers (+108 via FanDuel)
This wager probably seems like a bad idea; betting on an infamous three-point shooter to hit no more than two shots from deep. However, Clark has not been a sharpshooter from a three-point range in the WNBA. She’s hitting 32.3% of her threes (No. 26 in the league).
She has hit no more than two in five of seven games this month. However, she did hit 3+ in five of nine games in May. So, there is a solid chance she’ll make 3+, but we see value here since this market has plus-money odds.
Aliyah Boston, OVER 16.5 Points (-115 via FanDuel)
Kelsey Mitchell, OVER 17.5 Points (+100 via FanDuel)
Her season average is only 12.9 ppg, but the Fever have figured out something crucial to their success—getting Aliyah Boston and Kelsey Mitchell involved.
In her last game vs. Atlanta, Boston was 12-21 from the court for 27 points. She only shot 13 and 11 shots the next two games but made nine and eight shots (19 and 22 points). Last season’s Rookie of the Year has been in the zone. It would be a mistake if the Fever were not to take advantage.
Going Over Mitchell’s total will be a little trickier. She isn’t getting as many shots as Boston (11, 12, and 14), but she made seven, seven, and eight shots for 24, 17, and 22 points. She’s also done an excellent job getting to the free throw line (11-14 over her last three games).
Mitchell has had 18+ in four of seven games this month, but with the Fever rolling and the Dream down a star player, and plus money odds, it’s worth the risk.
Tina Charles to Record a Double-Double (+100 via FanDuel)
Charles is averaging close to a double-double this season with 12.6 ppg and 9.1 rebounds per game. She has had one in six of her 13 games this season, including her last two. However, she wasn’t even close in the last game vs. Indiana, with just two points and six rebounds in 16 minutes.
But with Howard out, Charles will likely be one of the players asked to step up and fill the void. That little extra drive will help get her into double digits in points and rebounds.
For more insights read our full Sparks vs Fever Game Preview and Prediction, here
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Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces
Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada
Game Time & Date: 10 p.m. ET on Friday, June 21
Coverage: ION
Spread: Aces -6.5 (-110 via Caesars)
A’ja Wilson, OVER 26.5 Points (-120 via Caesars)
UNDER 10.5 Rebounds at -110
She’s averaging 27.9 ppg and has scored 27+ in six of seven games this month and four of six in May. Connecticut has a solid defense (No. 1, 70.7 ppg allowed), but so does Minnesota (No. 2, 74.7 ppg allowed), and Wilson just hung up 28 on them. However, against New York (No. 3, 77.9 ppg allowed), she only had 21.
Don’t count on her to hit 30, but we think she’ll be good for 27. Yes, the Sun has a solid defense, but Wilson is the most dynamic scoring threat in the WNBA.
As for her rebound numbers, she’s been averaging 11.3 per game this year but has 11+ in just one of her last five games (15 vs. Phoenix). She’ll bring her “A” game against the Sun, but Connecticut will be up to the challenge.
They may not stop her from crashing the boards, but they’ll hold her to no more than ten.
Alyssa Thomas, OVER 12.5 Points (-135 via Caesars)
OVER 9.5 Rebounds at +105
Thomas has not been much of a scoring threat this month, with under 13 points in five of seven games. However, she had 13+ in two of her last three and five of seven in May. Against a defense struggling as much as the Aces’ has, Thomas should have a good night on the scoreboard.
Projecting her rebounding total is a little more challenging. Thomas averages 9.8 per game but tends to get them in bunches. She’s had four games with 12+, six with 10+, but eight with nine or less. In a big game like this, Thomas will have one of her better nights on the boards.
DeWanna Bonner, UNDER 17.5 Points (+100 via Caesars)
Bonner has been averaging 17.5 ppg, so she should have a good shot at going OVER this total, right? Eh—not necessarily. While she scored 18+ in six of seven games in May, she has only done so in two of seven in June and hasn’t done so in her last five games.
Connecticut wins more with defense than offense. The Sun doesn’t need someone scoring upwards of 28 ppg like A’ja Wilson does for the Aces. Consequently, the Sun has five players averaging double digits per game, with Bonner leading the way with 17.5 ppg.
Taking the UNDER is risky here, but the +100 odds sold us.
Bet on Sun vs Aces Props at Caesars
